Inflation is expected to remain a Damist at 3-4% in June: Ministry of Finance

• Run the current account 1.81 billion FY25
• Removals increase by 28.8% to almost $ 35 billion.
• Large -scale production decreased by 1.52% FY25.
  

Pakistan’s financial impulse remained stable by the financial year 2025 (FY25), with real GDP rising by 2.68% and inflation is expected to remain within 3% to 4% for June 2025, according to the finance ministry of Finance.

The report underlined the improved tax and external positions of Pakistan the FY25. The current account published a surplus of $ 1.81 billion, the fiscal deficit declined and the primary balance recorded a surplus of 3.2% of GDP during the July -April period.

These profits have been reinforced by the EXTENDED FUND (EFF) facilitation and the resilience and sustainability unit (RSF), which has enhanced the credibility of politics and the feeling of investors in the midst of stabilization efforts.

Imports, exports and imports showed upward trends during the first 11 months of FY25. Employee remittances rose by 28.8%, increasing from $ 27 billion to FY24 to nearly $ 35 billion this year. Input increases supported the return to the surplus of the current account, contributing to the stability of foreign exchange rates and the accumulation of reserves.

Exports were observed annual growth, although it was recorded in a monthly reduction. In May 2025, exports amounted to $ 2.4 billion – from over $ 3 billion in May 2024.

However, direct foreign investment decreased by 14.4% annually, stressing the continuation of investors in the midst of global uncertainty and local structural challenges.

Fiscal prospects showed improvement, with FBB revenue increasing by 25.9% and increasing non -taxation income by 68.1%. This fiscal performance, supported by reforms under the IMF program, allowed the overall deficit to be reduced and helped maintain a primary surplus.

The ministry said foreign inputs and administrative measures supported the accumulation of foreign exchange reserves, even when Rupia is underestimated by RS5.03 compared to previous use.

Inflation during the July period -Magia was recorded at 4.6%, reflecting on constant deflation, especially in food prices and energy. With improved inflation expectations, the Central Bank reduced the policy rate from 20.5% to 11% – a cumulative cut of 950 base points.

The decline in policy is expected to support the expansion of credit, revive private sector activity and stimulate growth in the following quarters.

Despite the wider recovery, large -scale production production decreased by 1.52% in the financial year to date. The ministry acknowledged that while various industrial departments have shown durability, structural congestion, energy restrictions and input costs continue to weigh production.