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Foreign Central Banks shift from long-term US bonds to short-term T-Bills

Foreign Central Banks shift from long-term US bonds to short-term T-Bills
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Foreign central banks and government institutions reduce their long -term US debt and move to the Treasury’s short -term accounts, according to new US Treasury data.

The latest Treasury International Capital (TIC) report shows that in February, official foreign institutions sold a pure $ 19.6 billion in US bonds and notes – the guarantees of over one year.

This marked the fourth consecutive month of net selling, after $ 24.1 billion unloaded in January and $ 42.3 billion in December.

In contrast, foreign buyers added $ 61.6 billion to finance ministry accounts in February, reflecting a growing preference for short -term assets maturing in less than a year.

The displacement suggests that central banks give priority to liquidity and safer returns in the midst of continuing economic and geopolitical uncertainty.

“This could reflect the reserves preparing for future currency interventions,” said Angelo Manolatos, a general at Wells Fargo. The Ministry of Finance’s accounts offer immediate access to cash, possibly providing governments greater flexibility in supporting their domestic currencies.

Foreign entities hold $ 8.8 trillion in US government debt, with central banks representing 44% of this total.

Despite the recent Selloff in long -term bonds, private foreign investors continue to buy US debt, more than the compensation of official outflows on a net basis.

Recent auctions of the 10 and 30-year-old finance ministry have been in high demand by indirect candidates- often a power of attorney for central banks- according to Finance Minister Scott Bessent.

China and Japan, the two largest foreign debt holders in the US, showed mixed activity in February. Japan increased its entries by $ 31.7 billion, while China reduced its report by $ 4.8 billion.

While speculation remains around whether foreign governments may arm their US farms in response to commercial policies, economists say that a coordinated Selloff remains unlikely. “Such a move would be self -destructive,” Capital Economics’ Mark Williams wrote, quoting China’s $ 3 trillion on US assets and lack of sustainable alternatives to the Treasury market.

US bond yields increased abruptly in April amid broader worries about market volatility and inflation.

Despite rotation in foreign portfolios, analysts say there are no clear indications of financial retaliation and US debt continues to attract worldwide investors.

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