Australia have a collection of cricketers who in their individual capacity are match winners but the team plan switches from one end to the other.
Easy way to evaluate that is look at the team combination i.e. is to look at a team’s no 7 or at times 8.
With Pakistan’s its Shadab, Imad or previously Faheem. All to varying degrees more bowlers than batters.
With England, they follow a batting heavy strategy. So yst they had Billings at 7, a specialist batter. Even if u consider their allrounders Livingstone n Moeen, both to varying degrees more batters than bowlers (not in the mould of Imad or Shadab).
Hence “par” score isn’t what England set out to achieve.
With Australia, u don’t really know tbh. Sometimes in Ashton Agar, it can be Wade or it can be Stoinis.
Not just a change in individual but also strategy.
So Australia’s best chance of beating Pakistan is if their match winners fire or of course in this tournament, win the toss.
Hazeewood, Starc and Cummings are not the best T20 bowlers in the World.
But they can create a situation where T20 becomes a test with seam & swing. Just what Shaheen n Hasan did in the PP with India.
Babar Azam against Hazelwood in test he averages around 11 (if memory serves me right). Twice in ODIs Hazelwood has bagged Babar, although once after the batter had his 100. They haven’t player a T20I against each other.
Australia, one would think would bowl better to Rizwan than India.
Two ways to counter it.
One was suggested by a Dewan Bhutta bhai, a long time page follower.
Pakistan go slow in the PP n then attack later. When the movement disappears, Australia have Zampa n all rounders…Fakhar can be handy.
There is another way trailed successfully by many teams in IPL, BBL and at times PSL..example Narine.
Give a low value wicket license to swing from the hip n get a couple of edged boundaries even. If they get out, they get out. U possibly make the of the 12 to 18 deliveries out of 120 rather than just going at 4s.
Especially if u r batting 1st… u need extra runs as seen throughout the tournament.
We all know what Pakistan will do. International cricket is still deeply conservative n coaches captain revert to long form ideas. This will change soon as more coaches like Andy Flower get gigs as consultants.
If Australia do remove one quickly, I think it will help that they have three or four pacers wrt Fakhar. If Fakhar starts against pace rather than a leggie, I think it will better for him I would think.
Pher at 4 and 5… well… Australia have pace, so I mean history tells u the story.
Somehow u gotta keep Asif Ali away from Zampa…like how Pak used Imad against NZ. If u had another hitter in the 11… u bring him when Maxwell generally bowls. If Australia bowl a death bowler there, there is a vacancy at death to exploit.
As for the bowling, Shaheen has go to after Warner in the PP. Marsh is static against spin. Warner n Maxwell would be their match winners, probably.
It will be good for the tournament if either side can bat 1st first n win the match.
Somebody has gotta break that pattern somewhere against a proper team whether today or the final.
Any of three teams doing it would definitely be worthy winners.