Pakistan scored back-to-back wins over Bangladesh and New Zealand to reignite their campaign with Zaman returning from a knee injury to hit 81 and then an impressive 81-ball 126 not out against the Kiwis.
With eight points from as many games, Pakistan not only need to beat England in their final game in Kolkata on Saturday, but also hope that New Zealand lose to Sri Lanka in Bangalore two days earlier or that the match has finish.
Afghanistan can also overtake Pakistan depending on the results in their last two matches.
“Who knows how we will go in this competition,” said Arthur, who is in his second stint in charge of Pakistan after a spell between 2016-2019.
“I have a real feeling that we will get to the semi-finals, but let’s see what happens. What we do know is that it will come into our hands on Saturday.
“With a little bit of God’s help, we can get to the semi-final, but we have to play well. We played the perfect game once, I think, and that was against Bangladesh.”
If Pakistan qualify, they will likely set up a shock clash with India in Kolkata on November 16 for a place in the final.
Arthur hailed Zaman’s winning performances.
“Ever since Fakhar came in he’s just been unbelievable,” Arthur said of the 33-year-old left-hander.
“Sometimes in campaigns like this you need something to ignite it and Fakhar certainly ignited that for us.
“We know when he’s playing well he’s outstanding. I’ve always been a huge supporter of Fakhar because I think he can change games.”
Chasing a daunting 402-run target to beat New Zealand — revised to 342 in 41 overs after rain — Zaman took his side to 200-1 before the match was abandoned with Pakistan 21 runs ahead of the DLS system.
Zaman hit 11 sixes and eight boundaries in his 11th ODI hundred, his first in two World Cups.
“Obviously, Fakhar coming into the side has given us a new lease of life. It was hard not to have him at the start. His form coming into the competition was a bit patchy.”
Zaman scored just 65 runs in four Asia Cup matches and 12 against Holland in the World Cup before being benched.
He then had a recurrence of a knee injury that forced him to retire midway through the last Twenty20 World Cup in Australia.
“He (Zaman) changes games whenever he bats, the more he bats the more dominant we become,” Arthur said.
“So it’s very important for us to keep Fakhar in that kind of form and it’s very important that he gets that form, aggression and accuracy with his batting in the England game.”
Arthur said his side must bring their best game against England, despite the defending champions having lost six of their seven matches.
“Hopefully we’ll save ourselves for a batting, bowling and fielding performance against England and then whatever happens, happens.”
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